Introduction

This OM was built as part of a project with the California Department of Fish and Wildlife to evaluate DLMtool for use in California state-managed marine fisheries.

The goal of the project was to demonstrate an efficient and transparent framework for improving the science for data-limited fisheries and for prioritizing future data collection.

Through close collaboration with CDFW biologists, the project has conducted case studies with four stocks: barred sand bass, Southern California halibut, red sea urchin, and warty sea cucumber. A current project with CDFW, which commenced in February 2018, will update the OM for these cases studies, as well as build OM for several more data-limited fisheries in California.

This document describes the OM for the warty sea cucumber. Several features have been added to DLMtool (e.g., historical MPAs, retention curves and discard mortality) since this OM was built. Default assumptions for these parameters have been made in this OM, and the OM will be updated as part of the 2018 project.

Operating Model

The OM rdata file can be downloaded from here

Download and import into R using myOM <- readRDS('OM.rdata')

Species Information

Species: Apostichopus parvimensis

Common Name: Warty Sea Cucumber

Management Agency: CDFW

Region: California, USA

Sponsor: Resources Legacy Fund

Latitude: 34.42083

Longitude: -119.69819

OM Parameters

OM Name: Name of the operating model: WSC_CA

nsim: The number of simulations: 500

proyears: The number of projected years: 50

interval: The assessment interval - how often would you like to update the management system? 4

pstar: The percentile of the sample of the management recommendation for each method: 0.5

maxF: Maximum instantaneous fishing mortality rate that may be simulated for any given age class: 0.8

reps: Number of samples of the management recommendation for each method. Note that when this is set to 1, the mean value of the data inputs is used. 1

Source: A reference to a website or article from which parameters were taken to define the operating model

See full report for details

Stock Parameters

Mortality and age: maxage, R0, M, M2, Mexp, Msd

maxage: The maximum age of individuals that is simulated (there is no plus group ). Single value. Positive integer

Specified Value(s): 30

Maximum age is unknown and was set to 30 years, which is allows for sufficient ages classes for all values of natural mortality.

R0: The magnitude of unfished recruitment. Single value. Positive real number

Specified Value(s): 1e+05

Fixed at an arbitrary 100,000.

M: Natural mortality rate. Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Positive real number

Specified Value(s): 0.2, 0.6

Some research suggests that the natural mortality rates for the California sea cucumber species is relatively high, with a maximum age of 8 - 12 years (Bruckner 2006). However, studies of other holothurian species indicate longevity of at least several decades.

The slow recovery rates of over-exploited sea cucumber stocks suggest that adult natural mortality is relatively low. Bounds for natural mortality were set at 0.2 - 0.6, which relate to a maximum age between 8 and 23 years.

M2: (Optional) Natural mortality rate at age. Vector of length maxage . Positive real number

Slot not used.

Mexp: Exponent of the Lorenzen function assuming an inverse relationship between M and weight. Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Real numbers <= 0.

Specified Value(s): 0, 0

Not used

Msd: Inter-annual variability in natural mortality rate expressed as a coefficient of variation. Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Non-negative real numbers

Specified Value(s): 0, 0.05

No justification provided.

Natural Mortality Parameters

Sampled Parameters

Histograms of 48 simulations of M, Mexp, and Msd parameters, with vertical colored lines indicating 3 randomly drawn values used in other plots:

Time-Series

The average natural mortality rate by year for adult fish for 3 simulations. The vertical dashed line indicates the end of the historical period:

M-at-Age

Natural mortality-at-age for 3 simulations in the first historical year, the last historical year (i.e., current year), and the last projected year:

M-at-Length

Natural mortality-at-length for 3 simulations in the first historical year, the last historical year (i.e., current year), and the last projected year:

Recruitment: h, SRrel, Perr, AC

h: Steepness of the stock recruit relationship. Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Values from 1/5 to 1

Specified Value(s): 0.4, 0.6

See Perr

SRrel: Type of stock-recruit relationship. Single value, switch (1) Beverton-Holt (2) Ricker. Integer

Specified Value(s): 1

A Beverton-Holt stock-recruitment was used.

Perr: Process error, the CV of lognormal recruitment deviations. Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Non-negative real numbers

Specified Value(s): 0.3, 0.6

Little data exists on recruitment trends. Recruitment is believed to be sporadic (Rogers-Bennett and Ono 2007). In the absence of any additional information, the recruitment parameters for the warty sea cucumber were set to the same values as those used for the red sea urchin.

AC: Autocorrelation in recruitment deviations rec(t)=ACrec(t-1)+(1-AC)sigma(t). Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Non-negative real numbers

Specified Value(s): 0.5, 0.9

See Perr

Recruitment Parameters

Sampled Parameters

Histograms of 48 simulations of steepness (h), recruitment process error (Perr) and auto-correlation (AC) for the Beverton-Holt stock-recruitment relationship, with vertical colored lines indicating 3 randomly drawn values used in other plots:

Time-Series

Non-stationarity in stock productivity: Period, Amplitude

Period: (Optional) Period for cyclical recruitment pattern in years. Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Non-negative real numbers

Slot not used.

Amplitude: (Optional) Amplitude in deviation from long-term average recruitment during recruitment cycle (eg a range from 0 to 1 means recruitment decreases or increases by up to 100% each cycle). Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. 0 < Amplitude < 1

Slot not used.

Growth: Linf, K, t0, LenCV, Ksd, Linfsd

Linf: Maximum length. Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Positive real numbers

Specified Value(s): 190, 220

The lack of age data and the difficulty in measuring the length of sea cucumber, make estimates of growth problematic. Chavez et al. (2011) report an estimate of Linf of 50 mm using the ELEFAN technique, which is an order of magnitude smaller than other estimates, and perhaps a typographical error in the units.

Bruckner (2006) reports a maximum length of 30 – 40 cm for the warty sea cucumber. The measurement of sea cucumber length is problematic, and depends on the method of measurement. The CDFW measures contracted length of the sea cucumber on the sea floor using diver surveys, and all length measurements reported here for the California WSC are in units of underwater contracted length.

Length frequency data from the CDFW shows a modal length of 100 mm and a maximum length around 220 mm. Based on this information, it was determined that a suitable range for the Linf parameter was 190 – 220 mm.

K: von Bertalanffy growth parameter k. Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Positive real numbers

Specified Value(s): 0.1, 0.4

Chavez et al. (2011) estimated a K value of 0.6 using the ELEFAN method. No other information appears to exist on the growth curve for the species. There are few details of the ELEFAN analysis in Chavez et al. (2011) and estimates of K can be highly variable using this method. It is difficult to define an appropriate range for this parameter without more detailed studies.

Most literature suggests that growth rates for sea cucumber are relatively slow (Bruckner 2006), whereas a value of K=0.6 would typically be considered relatively fast growth. Based on the knowledge that sea cucumber growth is relatively slow, it was determined that a K of 0.6 is unrealistically high, and the range for this parameter was set at 0.1 – 0.4.

t0: von Bertalanffy theoretical age at length zero. Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Non-positive real numbers

Specified Value(s): 0, 0

No information exists for estimates of t0, and it was fixed at zero. Length-weight parameters were estimated from survey data provided by the CDFW.

LenCV: Coefficient of variation of length-at-age (assumed constant for all age classes). Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Positive real numbers

Specified Value(s): 0.1, 0.15

No information, the default value was used.

Ksd: Inter-annual variability in growth parameter k expressed as coefficient of variation. Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Non-negative real numbers

Specified Value(s): 0, 0.02

No justification provided.

Linfsd: Inter-annual variability in maximum length expressed as a coefficient of variation. Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Non-negative real numbers

Specified Value(s): 0, 0.02

No justification provided.

Growth Parameters

Sampled Parameters

Histograms of 48 simulations of von Bertalanffy growth parameters Linf, K, and t0, and inter-annual variability in Linf and K (Linfsd and Ksd), with vertical colored lines indicating 3 randomly drawn values used in other plots:

Time-Series

The Linf and K parameters in each year for 3 simulations. The vertical dashed line indicates the end of the historical period:

Growth Curves

Sampled length-at-age curves for 3 simulations in the first historical year, the last historical year, and the last projection year.

Maturity: L50, L50_95

L50: Length at 50 percent maturity. Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Positive real numbers

Specified Value(s): 50, 70

Based on the presence or absence of gonads, the CDFW found females to reach sexual maturity at a total contracted length of 64 mm and at a 53 gram cut body weight (internal viscera and water removed). Males were found to reach sexual maturity at a contracted length of 55 mm and at a 47 gram cut body weight.

Given the uncertainty associated with these parameters, the range for the length at 50% maturity (L50) was set to 50 – 70 mm, and difference between the length at 95% and 50% maturity (L50_95) to 10 – 20 mm.

L50_95: Length increment from 50 percent to 95 percent maturity. Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Positive real numbers

Specified Value(s): 10, 20

See L50

Maturity Parameters

Sampled Parameters

Histograms of 48 simulations of L50 (length at 50% maturity), L95 (length at 95% maturity), and corresponding derived age at maturity parameters (A50 and A95), with vertical colored lines indicating 3 randomly drawn values used in other plots:

Maturity at Age and Length

Maturity-at-age and -length for 3 simulations in the first historical year, the last historical year (i.e., current year), and the last projected year:

Stock depletion and Discard Mortality: D, Fdisc

D: Current level of stock depletion SSB(current)/SSB(unfished). Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Fraction

Specified Value(s): 0.05, 0.4

Declines in catches and divers moving to deeper waters provide some evidence that the abundance of warty sea cucumber may be somewhat lower than in the past. Dive log analysis also suggests that CPUE has decreased from 2005 – 2012.

However, there is no estimate of current depletion, and the range for this parameter was set to 0.05 – 0.40, which allows for the possibility of a stock at very low size (5% of unfished biomass) as well a stock at much higher levels (40% of unfished biomass).

Fdisc: Fraction of discarded fish that die. Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Non-negative real numbers

Specified Value(s): 0, 0

Discard mortality was not included in DLMtool at the time this OM was built. Recent versions of DLMtool now include discard mortality.

Depletion and Discard Mortality

Sampled Parameters

Histograms of 48 simulations of depletion (spawning biomass in the last historical year over average unfished spawning biomass; D) and the fraction of discarded fish that are killed by fishing mortality (Fdisc), with vertical colored lines indicating 3 randomly drawn values.

Length-weight conversion parameters: a, b

a: Length-weight parameter alpha. Single value. Positive real number

Specified Value(s): 0.01

Estimated from CDFW data

b: Length-weight parameter beta. Single value. Positive real number

Specified Value(s): 1.9

See above

Spatial distribution and movement: Size_area_1, Frac_area_1, Prob_staying

Size_area_1: The size of area 1 relative to area 2. Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Positive real numbers

Specified Value(s): 0.15, 0.25

The Size_area_1 slot was not included in DLMtool at the time of this analyis. For this OM this Size_area_1 has been set equal to Frac_area_1 which assumes equal density in Area 1 and Area 2.

Frac_area_1: The fraction of the unfished biomass in stock 1. Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Positive real numbers

Specified Value(s): 0.15, 0.25

Sea cucumber are mobile and able to move. However, movement rates are not well understood, and the probability of staying in a spatial area was set equal to that used for the red sea urchin.

Prob_staying: The probability of inviduals in area 1 remaining in area 1 over the course of one year. Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Positive fraction.

Specified Value(s): 0.95, 0.99

See above.

Spatial & Movement

Sampled Parameters

Histograms of 48 simulations of size of area 1 (Size_area_1), fraction of unfished biomass in area 1 (Frac_area_1), and the probability of staying in area 1 in a year (Frac_area_1), with vertical colored lines indicating 3 randomly drawn values used in other plots:

Fleet Parameters

Historical years of fishing, spatial targeting: nyears, Spat_targ

nyears: The number of years for the historical spool-up simulation. Single value. Positive integer

Specified Value(s): 39

The first catches of sea cucumber in southern California were landed in 1978, and a 39-year historical fishing period (1978 – 2016) was assumed.

Spat_targ: Distribution of fishing in relation to spatial biomass: fishing distribution is proportional to B^Spat_targ. Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Real numbers

Specified Value(s): 1, 1

Targeting was assumed proportional to biomass.

Trend in historical fishing effort (exploitation rate), interannual variability in fishing effort: EffYears, EffLower, EffUpper, Esd

EffYears: Years representing join-points (vertices) of time-varying effort. Vector. Non-negative real numbers

Fishing mortality appears to have been increasing since the beginning of the fishery 40 years ago. A generally increasing trend in fishing mortality over time, with reasonably larger variability between years, was assumed for the historical fishing mortality.

EffLower: Lower bound on relative effort corresponding to EffYears. Vector. Non-negative real numbers

See EffYears

EffUpper: Upper bound on relative effort corresponding to EffYears. Vector. Non-negative real numbers

See EffYears

EffYears EffLower EffUpper
1978 0.0 0.0
1991 0.3 0.7
2003 0.6 1.0
2016 0.6 1.0

Esd: Additional inter-annual variability in fishing mortality rate. Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Non-negative real numbers

Specified Value(s): 0.1, 0.4

Default values from DLMtool were used for the inter-annual variability in fishing mortality.

Historical Effort

Sampled Parameters

Histograms of 48 simulations of inter-annual variability in historical fishing mortality (Esd), with vertical colored lines indicating 3 randomly drawn values used in the time-series plot:

Time-Series

Time-series plot showing 3 trends in historical fishing mortality (OM@EffUpper and OM@EffLower or OM@cpars$Find):

Annual increase in catchability, interannual variability in catchability: qinc, qcv

qinc: Average percentage change in fishing efficiency (applicable only to forward projection and input controls). Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Non-negative real numbers

Specified Value(s): 0, 2

Default values from DLMtool were used for the annual increase in catchability.

qcv: Inter-annual variability in fishing efficiency (applicable only to forward projection and input controls). Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Non-negative real numbers

Specified Value(s): 0.1, 0.3

Default values from DLMtool were used for the annual variability in catchability.

Future Catchability

Sampled Parameters

Histograms of 48 simulations of inter-annual variability in fishing efficiency (qcv) and average annual change in fishing efficiency (qinc), with vertical colored lines indicating 3 randomly drawn values used in the time-series plot:

Time-Series

Time-series plot showing 3 trends in future fishing efficiency (catchability):

Fishery gear length selectivity: L5, LFS, Vmaxlen, isRel

L5: Shortest length corresponding to 5 percent vulnerability. Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Positive real numbers

Specified Value(s): 35, 45

The smallest capture sea cucumbers appear to be about 40 mm contracted length, and the mode of the size distribution is around 90 mm. This information was used to set the bounds for length at 5% selection (L5) at 35 - 45 mm length, and smallest length at full selection (LFS) at 85 - 95 mm.

LFS: Shortest length that is fully vulnerable to fishing. Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Positive real numbers

Specified Value(s): 85, 95

See L5

Vmaxlen: The vulnerability of fish at . Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Fraction

Specified Value(s): 1, 1

There appears to be no evidence or reason to expect dome-shaped selectivity pattern, and the vulnerability at maximum length was set to 1.

isRel: Selectivity parameters in units of size-of-maturity (or absolute eg cm). Single value. Boolean.

Specified Value(s): FALSE

Selectivity was specified in absolute units.

Fishery length retention: LR5, LFR, Rmaxlen, DR

LR5: Shortest length corresponding ot 5 percent retention. Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Non-negative real numbers

Specified Value(s): 0, 0

This slot was not included in DLMtool at the time the OM was built. The retention curve is assumed to be equivalent to the selectivity curve, which is probably a reasonable assumption in this dive fishery.

LFR: Shortest length that is fully retained. Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Non-negative real numbers

Specified Value(s): 0, 0

See LR5

Rmaxlen: The retention of fish at . Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Non-negative real numbers

Specified Value(s): 1, 1

See LR5

DR: Discard rate - the fraction of caught fish that are discarded. Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Fraction

Specified Value(s): 0, 0

This slot was not included in DLMtool at the time the OM was built. No general discarding was modelled.

Time-varying selectivity: SelYears, AbsSelYears, L5Lower, L5Upper, LFSLower, LFSUpper, VmaxLower, VmaxUpper

SelYears: (Optional) Years representing join-points (vertices) at which historical selectivity pattern changes. Vector. Positive real numbers

Slot not used.

AbsSelYears: (Optional) Calendar years corresponding with SelYears (eg 1951, rather than 1), used for plotting only. Vector (of same length as SelYears). Positive real numbers

Slot not used.

L5Lower: (Optional) Lower bound of L5 (use ChooseSelect function to set these). Vector. Non-negative real numbers

Slot not used.

L5Upper: (Optional) Upper bound of L5 (use ChooseSelect function to set these). Vector. Non-negative real numbers

Slot not used.

LFSLower: (Optional) Lower bound of LFS (use ChooseSelect function to set these). Vector. Non-negative real numbers

Slot not used.

LFSUpper: (Optional) Upper bound of LFS (use ChooseSelect function to set these). Vector. Non-negative real numbers

Slot not used.

VmaxLower: (Optional) Lower bound of Vmaxlen (use ChooseSelect function to set these). Vector. Fraction

Slot not used.

VmaxUpper: (Optional) Upper bound of Vmaxlen (use ChooseSelect function to set these). Vector. Fraction

Slot not used.

Current Year: CurrentYr

CurrentYr: The current calendar year (final year) of the historical simulations (eg 2011). Single value. Positive integer.

Specified Value(s): 2016

The most recent data was from 2016

Existing Spatial Closures: MPA

MPA: (Optional) Matrix specifying spatial closures for historical years.

Slot not used.

Obs Parameters

Except where information was found to suggest alternative values, the parameters used for the observation model were based on the values presented in Carruthers et al. (2014) and are found in the ‘Generic_Obs’ observation object in the DLMtool.

Catch statistics: Cobs, Cbiascv, CAA_nsamp, CAA_ESS, CAL_nsamp, CAL_ESS

Cobs: Log-normal catch observation error expressed as a coefficient of variation. Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Non-negative real numbers

Specified Value(s): 0.1, 0.3

Borrowed from: Generic_Obs

Cbiascv: Log-normal coefficient of variation controlling the sampling of bias in catch observations for each simulation. Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Non-negative real numbers

Specified Value(s): 0.1

Borrowed from: Generic_Obs

CAA_nsamp: Number of catch-at-age observation per time step. Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Positive real numbers

Specified Value(s): 100, 200

Borrowed from: Generic_Obs

CAA_ESS: Effective sample size (independent age draws) of the multinomial catch-at-age observation error model. Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Positive integers

Specified Value(s): 10, 20

The effective sample size for catch-at-age (CAA_ESS) was reduced reflect the paucity of this type of data.

CAL_nsamp: Number of catch-at-length observation per time step. Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Positive integers

Specified Value(s): 100, 200

Borrowed from: Generic_Obs

CAL_ESS: Effective sample size (independent length draws) of the multinomial catch-at-length observation error model. Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Positive integers

Specified Value(s): 25, 50

Borrowed from: Generic_Obs

Index imprecision, bias and hyperstability: Iobs, Ibiascv, Btobs, Btbiascv, beta

Iobs: Observation error in the relative abundance indices expressed as a coefficient of variation. Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Positive real numbers

Specified Value(s): 0.1, 0.4

Borrowed from: Generic_Obs

Ibiascv: Not Used. Log-normal coefficient of variation controlling error in observations of relative abundance index. Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Positive real numbers

Specified Value(s): 0.2

Borrowed from: Generic_Obs

Btobs: Log-normal coefficient of variation controlling error in observations of current stock biomass among years. Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Positive real numbers

Specified Value(s): 0.2, 0.5

Borrowed from: Generic_Obs

Btbiascv: Uniform-log bounds for sampling persistent bias in current stock biomass. Uniform-log distribution lower and upper bounds. Positive real numbers

Specified Value(s): 0.33, 3

Borrowed from: Generic_Obs

beta: A parameter controlling hyperstability/hyperdepletion where values below 1 lead to hyperstability (an index that decreases slower than true abundance) and values above 1 lead to hyperdepletion (an index that decreases more rapidly than true abundance). Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Positive real numbers

Specified Value(s): 0.8, 1.2

The range for the beta parameter was set to 0.8 – 1.2 to reflect the perceived increased reliability of CPUE data for this stock compared to the “Generic_obs” default values.

Bias in maturity, natural mortality rate and growth parameters: LenMbiascv, Mbiascv, Kbiascv,t0biascv, Linfbiascv

LenMbiascv: Log-normal coefficient of variation for sampling persistent bias in length at 50 percent maturity. Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Positive real numbers

Specified Value(s): 0.1

Borrowed from: Generic_Obs

Mbiascv: Log-normal coefficient of variation for sampling persistent bias in observed natural mortality rate. Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Positive real numbers

Specified Value(s): 0.4

The CV for natural mortality was increased to 40% to reflect high uncertainty in this parameter.

Kbiascv: Log-normal coefficient of variation for sampling persistent bias in observed growth parameter K. Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Positive real numbers

Specified Value(s): 0.3

The CV for the growth (Linf and K) parameters was increased to 10% and 30% respectively to reflect high uncertainty in these parameters.

t0biascv: Log-normal coefficient of variation for sampling persistent bias in observed t0. Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Positive real numbers

Specified Value(s): 0.1

Borrowed from: Generic_Obs

Linfbiascv: Log-normal coefficient of variation for sampling persistent bias in observed maximum length. Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Positive real numbers

Specified Value(s): 0.1

See Kbiascv

Bias in length at first capture, length at full selection: LFCbiascv, LFSbiascv

LFCbiascv: Log-normal coefficient of variation for sampling persistent bias in observed length at first capture. Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Positive real numbers

Specified Value(s): 0.05

Borrowed from: Generic_Obs

LFSbiascv: Log-normal coefficient of variation for sampling persistent bias in length-at-full selection. Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Positive real numbers

Specified Value(s): 0.05

Borrowed from: Generic_Obs

Bias in fishery reference points, unfished biomass, FMSY, FMSY/M ratio, biomass at MSY relative to unfished: FMSYbiascv, FMSY_Mbiascv, BMSY_B0biascv

FMSYbiascv: Not used. Log-normal coefficient of variation for sampling persistent bias in FMSY. Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Positive real numbers

Specified Value(s): 0.2

Borrowed from: Generic_Obs

FMSY_Mbiascv: Log-normal coefficient of variation for sampling persistent bias in FMSY/M. Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Positive real numbers

Specified Value(s): 0.2

Borrowed from: Generic_Obs

BMSY_B0biascv: Log-normal coefficient of variation for sampling persistent bias in BMSY relative to unfished. Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Positive real numbers

Specified Value(s): 0.2

Borrowed from: Generic_Obs

Management targets in terms of the index (i.e., model free), the total annual catches and absolute biomass levels: Irefbiascv, Crefbiascv, Brefbiascv

Irefbiascv: Log-normal coefficient of variation for sampling persistent bias in relative abundance index at BMSY. Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Positive real numbers

Specified Value(s): 0.2

Borrowed from: Generic_Obs

Crefbiascv: Log-normal coefficient of variation for sampling persistent bias in MSY. Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Positive real numbers

Specified Value(s): 0.2

Borrowed from: Generic_Obs

Brefbiascv: Log-normal coefficient of variation for sampling persistent bias in BMSY. Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Positive real numbers

Specified Value(s): 0.5

Borrowed from: Generic_Obs

Depletion bias and imprecision: Dbiascv, Dobs

Dbiascv: Log-normal coefficient of variation for sampling persistent bias in stock depletion. Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Positive real numbers

Specified Value(s): 0.5

Borrowed from: Generic_Obs

Dobs: Log-normal coefficient of variation controlling error in observations of stock depletion among years. Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Positive real numbers

Specified Value(s): 0.05, 0.1

Borrowed from: Generic_Obs

Recruitment compensation and trend: hbiascv, Recbiascv

hbiascv: Log-normal coefficient of variation for sampling persistent bias in steepness. Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Positive real numbers

Specified Value(s): 0.2

Borrowed from: Generic_Obs

Recbiascv: Log-normal coefficient of variation for sampling persistent bias in recent recruitment strength. Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Positive real numbers

Specified Value(s): 0.1, 0.3

Borrowed from: Generic_Obs

Obs Plots

Observation Parameters

Catch Observations

Sampled Parameters

Histograms of 48 simulations of inter-annual variability in catch observations (Csd) and persistent bias in observed catch (Cbias), with vertical colored lines indicating 3 randomly drawn values used in other plots:

Time-Series

Depletion Observations

Sampled Parameters

Histograms of 48 simulations of inter-annual variability in depletion observations (Dobs) and persistent bias in observed depletion (Dbias), with vertical colored lines indicating 3 randomly drawn values used in other plots:

Time-Series

Abundance Observations

Sampled Parameters

Histograms of 48 simulations of inter-annual variability in abundance observations (Btobs) and persistent bias in observed abundance (Btbias), with vertical colored lines indicating 3 randomly drawn values used in other plots:

Time-Series

Index Observations

Sampled Parameters

Histograms of 48 simulations of inter-annual variability in index observations (Iobs) and hyper-stability/depletion in observed index (beta), with vertical colored lines indicating 3 randomly drawn values used in other plots:

Time-Series

Time-series plot of 3 samples of index observation error:

Plot showing an example true abundance index (blue) with 3 samples of index observation error and the hyper-stability/depletion parameter (beta):

Recruitment Observations

Sampled Parameters

Histograms of 48 simulations of inter-annual variability in index observations (Recsd) , with vertical colored lines indicating 3 randomly drawn values used in other plots:

Time-Series

Composition Observations

Sampled Parameters

Histograms of 48 simulations of catch-at-age effective sample size (CAA_ESS) and sample size (CAA_nsamp) and catch-at-length effective (CAL_ESS) and actual sample size (CAL_nsamp) with vertical colored lines indicating 3 randomly drawn values:

Parameter Observations

Sampled Parameters

Histograms of 48 simulations of bias in observed natural mortality (Mbias), von Bertalanffy growth function parameters (Linfbias, Kbias, and t0bias), length-at-maturity (lenMbias), and bias in observed length at first capture (LFCbias) and first length at full capture (LFSbias) with vertical colored lines indicating 3 randomly drawn values:

Reference Point Observations

Sampled Parameters

Histograms of 48 simulations of bias in observed FMSY/M (FMSY_Mbias), BMSY/B0 (BMSY_B0bias), reference index (Irefbias), reference abundance (Brefbias) and reference catch (Crefbias), with vertical colored lines indicating 3 randomly drawn values:

Imp Parameters

Implementation error was not included in DLMtool at the time this OM was built. Here it is assumed that management is implemented perfectly. These values may be updated when the OM is revised in 2018.

Output Control Implementation Error: TACFrac, TACSD

TACFrac: Mean fraction of TAC taken. Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Positive real number.

Specified Value(s): 1, 1

Borrowed from: Perfect_Imp

TACSD: Log-normal coefficient of variation in the fraction of Total Allowable Catch (TAC) taken. Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Non-negative real numbers.

Specified Value(s): 0, 0

Borrowed from: Perfect_Imp

Effort Control Implementation Error: TAEFrac, TAESD

TAEFrac: Mean fraction of TAE taken. Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Positive real number.

Specified Value(s): 1, 1

Borrowed from: Perfect_Imp

TAESD: Log-normal coefficient of variation in the fraction of Total Allowable Effort (TAE) taken. Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Non-negative real numbers.

Specified Value(s): 0, 0

Borrowed from: Perfect_Imp

Size Limit Control Implementation Error: SizeLimFrac, SizeLimSD

SizeLimFrac: The real minimum size that is retained expressed as a fraction of the size. Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Positive real number.

Specified Value(s): 1, 1

Borrowed from: Perfect_Imp

SizeLimSD: Log-normal coefficient of variation controlling mismatch between a minimum size limit and the real minimum size retained. Uniform distribution lower and upper bounds. Non-negative real numbers.

Specified Value(s): 0, 0

Borrowed from: Perfect_Imp

Imp Plots

Implementation Parameters

TAC Implementation

Sampled Parameters

Histograms of 48 simulations of inter-annual variability in TAC implementation error (TACSD) and persistent bias in TAC implementation (TACFrac), with vertical colored lines indicating 3 randomly drawn values used in other plots:

Time-Series

TAE Implementation

Sampled Parameters

Histograms of 48 simulations of inter-annual variability in TAE implementation error (TAESD) and persistent bias in TAC implementation (TAEFrac), with vertical colored lines indicating 3 randomly drawn values used in other plots:

Time-Series

Size Limit Implementation

Sampled Parameters

Histograms of 48 simulations of inter-annual variability in size limit implementation error (SizeLimSD) and persistent bias in size limit implementation (SizeLimFrac), with vertical colored lines indicating 3 randomly drawn values used in other plots:

Time-Series

Historical Simulation Plots

Historical Time-Series

Spawning Biomass

Depletion

Absolute

Vulnerable Biomass

Depletion

Absolute

Total Biomass

Depletion

Absolute

Recruitment

Relative

Absolute

Catch

Relative

Absolute

Historical Fishing Mortality

Historical Time-Series

References

Bruckner, A. 2006. Sea cucumber population status, fisheries and trade in the United States. In Proceedings of the CITES workshop on the conservation of sea cucumbers in the families Holothuriidae and Stichopodidae. Edited by A. Bruckner. NOAA Technical Memorandum NMFS. pp. 192 – 202.

Carruthers, T.R., Punt, A.E., Walters, C.J., MacCall, A., McAllister, M.K., Dick, E.J., and Cope, J. 2014. Evaluating methods for setting catch limits in data-limited fisheries. Fish. Res. 153: 48 - 68. Elsevier B.V. doi: 10.1016/j.fishres.2013.12.014.

Chavez, E.A., Salgado-Rogel, M.D.L., and Palleiro-Nayar, J. 2011. Stock assessment of the warty sea cucumber fishery (Parastichopus parvimensis) of NW Baja California. Calif. Coop. Ocean. Fish. Investig. Reports 52: 136–147.

Rogers-Bennett, L., and Ono, D.S. 2001. Sea cucumbers. California living marine resources: a status report, California Department of Fish and Game.